Day One: Tuesday 22 June 2004 Day Two: Wednesday 23 June 2004
last modified: 29/06/2004 (London) |
Day One: Tuesday 22 June 2004
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Appetite for Risk
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| 08.30 | Registration and welcome coffee  |
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| 09.00 | Opening remarks from the chair
Nigel Collin
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Nigel Collins, Speaker
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REDUCING RISKS IN THE GLOBAL ENERGY MARKET
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| 09.10 | Keynote Address
A global perspective on dealing with varying degrees of risk in the international energy markets
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Understanding of domestic and international energy issues and the risk scenarios
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Reducing risk from extreme price volatility, inadequate market design and shortages
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Strategies to reduce overall power costs and magnitude of price spikes
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Success stories and lessons learnt from the US experience |
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| 09.40 | Keynote Address
Examining cutting edge approaches to hedging cross-commodity risk
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Hedging core business activities
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Developing hedging strategies for reducing risk vs. expected profits
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Implementing hedging strategies in markets with high volatility, poor liquidity and huge bid/offer spreads
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Developing long term contracting strategies to mitigate long impact of fluctuating and low prices |
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ENERGY RISK MITIGATION
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| 10.10 | Case Study
Managing the balance between market risk and credit risk in the National Electricity Market (NEM)
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Credit risk - why it should be measured and managed
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Trading with perceived credit concerns caused by parent companies in financial distress - unfortunately common in the Australian market
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Striking the balance between credit risk and market risk in an illiquid market
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Credit washing - risks and benefits
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Benefits arising from public ratings
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Case Study - NRG Energy and NRG Flinders |
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Mark Williamson, GM Marketing & Trading, NRG Flinders
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10.50 | Morning coffee |
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| 11.20 | Case Study
Energy risk scenarios and outlook for the power markets
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The sequel to the "Bloodbath" scenario
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Emerging trends in the power generation sector
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Financial distress and exit theory |
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| 11.50 | Case Study
Developing a risk responsive business model for an electricity generator in the NEM
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Impact of market developments since de-regulation
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The risks for a generation company
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Managing risks through structural change
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Governments and regulators - some of the issues |
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Carlo Botto, Director Marketing, Yallourn Energy | Presentation:
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| 12.10 | Examining challenges faced by the energy sector: Maximising opportunities and minimising risks
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Risk scenarios facing Australia's energy sector over the next decade
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Strengthening the governance of energy markets
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Strategies for rule-making and market development
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Strategies for delivering secure, clean, affordable energy for Australia's future
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12.30 | Lunch |
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| 14.10 | Discussion Panel and Q&A
Examining counterparty credit risk management
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The problem of lack of rated counterparties and the limitations this poses for generators
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Addressing the need for a proper system of rating counterparties
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Developing frameworks for risk analysis and controls
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Determining the credit worthiness of counterparties
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Examining the relationship between increased counterparty risk and market trading
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Reducing exposure of industry participants to counterparty credit risk
Alexander Eydeland, Vice President and Head of Research, Mirant Corporation
Barry K Worthington, Executive Director, United States Energy Association
Mark Williamson, General Manager Marketing & Strategy, NRG Flinders |
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| 15.00 | Case Study
Leveraging portfolio representation of assets based on hydro-electric storage to minimise risk
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The value chain - available capacity, water in storage, physical delivery
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Sources of value - capacity and energy
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Valuing energy in storage
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Risk management options - physical vs financial
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Basis for evaluating extensions to the physical supply portfolio
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| 15.20 | Energy Networking This Terrapinn innovation facilitates a quick introduction and business card exchange in a light and fast paced session ensuring you maximise the benefits of your Terrapinn conference experience. |
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16.00 | Afternoon tea |
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ENERGY TRADING
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| 16.30 | Case Study
Addressing the risk of energy trading in an illiquid market
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The importance of a liquid and transparent market in realizing maximum asset and business value
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Dispelling the myths of independent price reporting
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Creating effective trading strategies to address risks posed by illiquid markets |
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| 16.50 | Advanced VaR Methods
- The particular characteristics of energy markets
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Finding risk components for the VaR report
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Integrating market VaR and credit VaR
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From risk reporting to risk management
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John F. O. Bilson, Melbourne Business School, University Of Melbourne | Paper:
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17.10 | Closing remarks from the chair |
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17.15 | End of day one |
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17.20 | Networking drinks |
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Day Two: Wednesday 23 June 2004
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Appetite for risk
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08.30 | Welcome coffee |
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| 09.00 | Opening remarks from the chair
Barry K Worthington, Executive Director, United States Energy Association, Chairman, US National Energy Foundation |
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ENERGY PRICING ISSUES
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| 09.10 | Keynote Address
Regulating pricing and competition in the energy market, an international perspective
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Managing regulatory risk
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Strategies to ensure fair and open competition for generators, retailers and wholesalers |
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Khoo Chin Hean, Chief Executive, Energy Market Authority, Singapore | Paper:
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| 09.40 | Keynote Address
Leveraging strategies to ensure effective pricing and competition in the energy market
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Strategies to regulate pricing and competition
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Ensure adequacy of supply through creating a robust and competitive market.
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Competition faced by generators, wholesalers, retailers and regulatory arrangements for safeguarding the same
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Paul Baxter, Senior Commissioner, Independent Competition & Regulatory Commission | Presentation:
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| 10.10 | Executive Address
Mitigating risks in electricity supply by investing and funding for maintenance of electrical networks
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Rise in electricity prices - a step towards improving network infrastructure in NSW
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Challenge of failing to invest in demand management measures in the face of rising energy use
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Updates on reviews being carried out on distribution pricing in SA and QLD
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Accounting for the risks and complexities in energy industry
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Low return on investment a deterrent for future investment and reliability of services |
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10.30 | Morning coffee |
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| 11.00 | Panel Discussion and Q&A
Financial Transmission Rights – A step towards better transmission network arrangements?
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Is there a place for FTRs in the national energy market?
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Progress and inhibitions towards implementation of FTRs
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How FTRs can help curb volatile prices
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Benefits of leveraging FTRs
Stephen Weston, Manager Trading & Marketing, Hydro Tasmania
Stephen Kelly, Managing Director, National Electricity Code Administrator (NECA)
Barry K Worthington, Executive Director, United States Energy Association |
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MANAGING RETAIL RISK
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| 11.50 | Executive Address
Dealing with strategic risk in the retail sector
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What are the invisible risks?
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Dealing with risks in retail pricing
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Who is losing from too few retail regions?
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Who is paying for inadequate retail competition? |
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MANAGING WHOLESALE RISK
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| 12.10 | Special Address
Managing wholesale market price risk
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New governance arrangements for the market
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Levels and volatility of spot market prices
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Initiatives to minimise and manage risk |
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| 12.30 | Case Study
A generator's view on managing wholesale pricing in electricity markets
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Pricing wholesale market risk
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Spot market volatility and market structure
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Behavioural impact of contract supply/demand balance
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Trends in trading liquidity and contract liquidity
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Portfolio optimisation ? multiple equilibrium?
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The role of generation in managing retail wholesale risk |
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Tim Baker, GM Marketing, Delta Electricity | Presentation:
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12.50 | Lunch |
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| 14.20 | Case Study
Identification and quantification of generator specific risks
- Identifying issues surrounding regulatory risks
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Analysing plant and transmission availability risks
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Discussing strategies for risk mitigation
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Pass-through or pricing?
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Understanding the legal and operational issues in the energy sector
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Determining valuation and accounting issues |
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| 14.40 | Case Study
Modelling energy and power market prices
- Techniques for modelling power market prices
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Pricing options in the power markets
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Standardising trading instruments
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Pricing, modelling and managing power derivatives
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Developing valuation processes for power and weather derivatives
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Stephen Lowe, GM Energy Trading, Integral Energy
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15.00 | Afternoon Tea |
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EMISSIONS TRADING
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| 15.30 | Strategies for the end user to manage risks associated with emissions trading
- The relationship between government policy and risk
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Progressive policy integration
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The risk in developing new energy technologies and projects
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| 15.50 | Panel Discussion and Q&A
Green legislation: Analysing the road forward
- Need for a truly national measure to support state-wide schemes
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Initiating measures to make greenhouse responses streamlined, coordinated and national in scope
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Emissions trading - discussing the government's decision to abandon all work on developing a greenhouse gas emissions trading regime
- Carbon credits - addressing the big unknown
Mark Fogarty, Executive Director, Sustainable Environment Development Authority
Julia Birch, Research and Policy, Business Council for Sustainable Energy |
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16.50 | Closing remarks from the chair |
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17.00 | Close of conference |